Financial Astrology Terminal
Win Rate & Risk–Reward

Win Rate & Risk–Reward Calculator

Compute risk/share, reward/share, R:R, breakeven win-rate, and expectancy — with a gradient gauge and crisp charts.

R:RExpectancyPosition sizing

Trade setup

Assumes a long setup. Rule: Entry > Stop and Target > Entry.
Sized quantity: 45
Reward vs Risk
Reward
Risk
Reward11.50
Risk5.50
R:R 2.09x• Breakeven win-rate: 32.4%
Tip

Many traders keep 1–2% risk per trade of account equity — adjust size so max loss stays inside your rules.

How to use this calculator
  • Pick Long/Short, then set Entry, Stop, Target. You’ll see risk/share, reward/share and R:R.
  • Size by shares or toggle size from risk % to use account-based risk.
  • Add fees/slippage to update breakeven price and net P/L.
  • Use Win-rate % to estimate expectancy.
Notes & limitations
  • Gaps, borrow costs and fills can differ — stress test wider stops and higher slippage.
  • R:R compares setups; it doesn’t predict which trade will win.
  • Education only — not financial advice.
  • Explore more: R:R Basics • ROI • Win-rate & Expectancy

Results & visuals

Risk / share
5.50
Reward / share
11.50
R:R & breakeven win-rate
2.09 • 32.4%
R:R gauge (capped at 3×)
2.09 / 3
Expectancy per trade vs Win-rate

R:R = reward ÷ risk; breakeven win-rate = 1 / (1 + R). Expectancy ≈ Win% × NetReward − (1 − Win%) × NetRisk.

How to use the Win Rate and Risk-Reward calculator

Test whether your strategy has positive expectancy over many trades. Before calculating, enter accurate inputs: Enter win rate, average risk per trade, and average reward per trade.

After you get the output, interpret it like this: Focus on expectancy and break-even win rate to judge strategy quality. Practical tip: A lower win rate can still work if reward is meaningfully larger than risk.This calculator is for planning and scenario analysis, so use it with your broader risk management, position sizing, and market context before taking a real trade or investment decision.

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